zeebo theorem at the office

November 25th, 2012

zeebo theorem at the office

Published in the play, updated news - recent posts

located off the 101 in between hollywood and the valley sits a respectable little cash game that goes off a couple times a week. the game is held in what i presume was, at one point, maybe 20 years ago, a nice office building. if i had to work in this office on a daily basis i would probably want to shoot myself because i can only imagine what a bummer it must be in the daylight. needless to say, courtenay was my “in” to this game. the set up isnt bad: 2 dealers that rotate, nice hosts, plenty of food, flat screens and the occasional 80′s dance music play list. the regulars’ skill levels varies from decent to horrible. when the game plays big it’s way better than when it stays at the smaller blinds.

it was at my second trip to “the office” when i finally got zeebo’ed. zeebo theorem states: no player is capable of folding a full house on any betting round, regardless of the size of the bet. it’s pretty true – i lost 2 big pots with full house over full house and at that moment i was utterly incapable of folding – even after i was reraised. why? cos i refused to believe they had a better hand – yet there were better possible hands to be had. i found it tough to believe but that’s zeebo in action and as a result i have gotten better. i’ve always been one to learn better from direct experience as lessons “stick” more.

here is some more info i found on the web about taking advantage of the zeebo theorem:
The Zeebo theorem assumes that a full house is a very strong and rare hand, thus players will very rarely, if ever, fold a full house. Even if a player holds a weak full house, more often than not, they will still convince themselves to call knowing that there is a possibility that they are being bluffed. There are at least three kinds of situations, where you can profitably apply the Zeebo theorem:
1. If you think your opponent has a full house and you hold a better hand, put as much money into the pot as you can.
2.Avoid bluffing a player you put on a full house. Even on a board like AAK55, when you think your opponent has a 5,attempting to bluff him is like setting money on fire.
3.When you play against a very good player, they will certainly be aware of the Zeebo theorem. If you hold a weak full house, like this from the previous point, and they make a large bet, they will almost surely hold a better hand, trying to extract the most value. Fold and save your money.

please note – i totally avoided the obvious sports quarterback reference

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